At long last, Jim Thome hit his 600th career home run and became the eighth player in major league history to reach that milestone. Given the increase in home runs in the past 20 years, the 400-homer club has become almost old news, and hitting 500 homers is no longer an automatic ticket to Cooperstown.
But 600 homers is still a pretty rare feat—you can count the club members without running out of fingers—and many of the best players of this generation are likely to fall well short.
Who else will pass the 600-homer mark? Because waiting years and decades to find out isn’t much fun, I used the ZiPS system to project the final home run totals for every player who looked to be even remotely on a 600-dinger trajectory. (Players like Geoff Blum or Juan Pierre need not apply.)
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