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Certainly there seems enough in common between the Marlins' '02 and '04 teams to suggest that without Pudge, among others, they were a .500 team.
But the Pirates don’t have a Clayton Kershaw on their staff.
I was pleased to hear Rany and Joe, in their last podcast, finally admit that the Marlins are run exactly how sabermetrics envisions a team should be run through a success cycle. For too long they treated it as a punchbag, although many saber-influenced Strat and Diamond Mind players do exactly the same sort of thing — make a playoff run, then tank as soon as you think your team has exhausted its possibilities.
some question marks at the end in Locke, Edinson Volquez, Jeanmar Gomez, Kyle McPherson and Stoly Pimentel with Jameson Taillon ready mid-season.
The team has Cole and Liriano at the top of the rotation, some decent mid-tier guys in Wandy and Morton after that, and some question marks at the end
Morton is a question mark at the end, not a 'decent mid-tier' guy. He's not good enough to really be a 'mid-tier' guy just based on rate performances...
He had a 3.69 xFIP last year, a 4.04 xFIP the year before that, and a 4.08 xFIP the year before that. As long as he's healthy, he's a decent mid-tier guy.
Last year was the only time in his career his xFIP was below 4.00. His career rate is 4.19, and he's turning 30. If 2013 represents a genuine step forward, which can be expected to counteract the effects of aging, then he might count as a decent mid-tier guy. Maybe.
Perhaps it's splitting hairs, but I think that even at his best level of performance he's barely a 'third starter' - and is unlikely to match that level of quality again.
I was pleased to hear Rany and Joe, in their last podcast, finally admit that the Marlins are run exactly how sabermetrics envisions a team should be run through a success cycle.
Last year, there were only 72 SP with 120+ IP and an xFIP under 4. If Morton had put up the 4.04 he posted in 2012, rather than his actual (i.e. better) 2013 figure, that'd still rank him 75th overall, right between Jake Peavy and Martin Perez.
Except that there were actually 119 such players. And Morton wasn't one of them. In his best season. So...
Is Wandy Rodriguez considered healthy now?
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