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It took a Harvard study to establish what any jackass with baseball-reference and a half-hour of spare time can plainly see?
What’s not clear in the Harvard study, though, is why having a playoffs system wherein the best regular-season club doesn’t often win the championship makes that system “bad.” If the object is simply to reward the best regular-season team, why even have playoffs?
Which is precisely why expanding the playoffs was such a stupid idea.
There's no competitive purpose served by putting all or most of the 90+ win teams into a random crapshoot postseason.
So if you're a betting man/woman, one of the best bets you can make is to take the longest shot in the playoffs to win the World Series. Everyone's odds are roughly the same, so the long shot is the best way to go, right?
A postseason series determines which team played better over the course of that series (usually), not which team is better.
Los Angeles Dodgers 5/2
Boston Red Sox 3/1
Detroit Tigers 5/1
St Louis Cardinals 5/1
Oakland Athletics 8/1
Atlanta Braves 9/1
Cincinnati Reds 18/1
Pittsburgh Pirates 18/1
Cleveland Indians 20/1
Tampa Bay Rays 25/1
And yet everybody used to love those World Series, and of course loved the ones best that went to seven games and produced the randomest champions of all.
The whole purpose of the playoffs is so that the "best team" doesn't win all the time.
HFA is real, so you may want to weight your series odds by that. The home team will win the series more often even if the teams are truly even.
Are there LDS odds out at any of the casinos yet? Or are they waiting for the rotations to be set?
The World Series, even in the 16-team era, was every bit as "random" as any postseason series today, with its share of notable upsets and incomprehensible outcomes (as well as a few like 1927 and 1939 that seem to confirm the staggering greatness of a given team, but may be illusions in their own right).
The whole purpose of the playoffs is so that the "best team" doesn't win all the time. It's the reason those economists that looked at Baseball and European football suggested that they institute playoffs in European football leagues.
What else are they going to spend that eleventy billion dollar endowment on?
I agree, obviously, though I don't know if it makes the World Series any less valid or viable
Lower tuition? Isn't the endowment so frickingly huge Harvard doesn't have to charge tuition at all?
In other words, the more weak teams are introduced, the less likely we are to see truly great teams win the World Series, which I think in the long run lessens one of the great events in sports.
Which would be a better story - the Pirates or Rays winning the WS, or the Red Sox or Cardinals?
Many of the memorable moments in WS history are produced by teams that win when they are least expected to win. Hitless Wonder White Sox. Miracle Braves. 1960 Pirates. 1966 Orioles. Miracle Mets.
I also favor making the World Series a best of nine series with no off days. Let the entire team be part of the contest, not just its front line talent.
I loved September baseball, even when one team ran away from the rest of its league
why do you love Sept baseball when some team that is stuffed with all the best talent is beating up on a cellar dweller that is 40 games out of first? Can you explain this in more detail?
*The BCS uses a mathematical system that combines polls (Coaches' and Harris) and multiple computer rankings (including some individual selectors listed above) to determine a season ending matchup between its top two ranked teams in the BCS Championship Game. The champion of that game is contractually awarded the Coaches' Poll and National Football Foundation championships.
This is an extreme, but meant to prove that introducing lower level teams into the randomness can weaken far more important measures of excellence (like say performing for 162 games) in determining greatness. In other words, the more weak teams are introduced, the less likely we are to see truly great teams win the World Series, which I think in the long run lessens one of the great events in sports.
Sean, do you have any idea what the HFA is in the playoffs? Not by series, but total games?
I am not sure what this means, but FG just covered the topic here.
Are there LDS odds out at any of the casinos yet?
Everyone on BBTF (including me) seems to agree that MLB playoff results are completely random.
Seriously, though, why don't you just change the name of the league to Major League Football while you're at it...?
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