Go to end of page
Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.
In Abreu's best season, 2010-11, he batted .453 with a .597 on-base percentage, .986 slugging percentage, 33 home runs and 93 RBIs, and he only played in 66 games after missing 23 with bursitis in his shoulder.
The Davenport numbers for that white-hot 2010-11 season suggest that Abreu would have been capable of putting up this slash line in the Major Leagues: .381/.495/.809.
but I'd imagine the chances of him putting up one of the best seasons in history is remote at best.
It wasn't a season though, it was 66 games. Still pretty hard to believe, but look for what the top hitters do when having their hottest 2 month stretch instead of comparing that line to full seasons.
They suggest that he will struggle to succeed against pitchers who throw in the high-90s and have the ability to command an array of breaking pitches.
Man, projecting Abreu is going to be a pain in the ass. It's impossible to translate his numbers in any way that he doesn't wind up as one of the top 15 projected hitters in baseball I don't think.
In the Cell, ZiPS has a prelim projection of 269/356/467, 2.1 WAR (estimating a few runs below-average defensively, nothing else to [judge] guy by). Abreu's top comps in ZiPS are Garko, other Frank Thomas, Konerko, Hidalgo, Spence, LeCroy, Huskey, Earl Williams, Bubba Trammell, Boomer.
ZiPS pegs a contract covering his >1.5 WAR years as 6 years, $63 million, so White Sox paid reasonably (or ZiPS and the White Sox are independently wrong).
You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.
Login to Join (2 members)
Page rendered in 0.3998 seconds, 57 querie(s) executed